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Firms hone use of new data to pick Covid-19’s winners

Managers are using alternative data to assess the pandemic’s effect on individual stocks

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How adaptive models got AlphaSimplex through the Covid crisis

System sped up moves out of stocks into commodities and bonds

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For a post-Covid world, quant fund revives a contentious idea

Crisis puts out-of-vogue practice of “porting” alpha back in play

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Vol decay and correlation flips: CFM’s take on the Covid crisis

Market bounce-back blindsided quant investment firm – and others

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Fund managers seek to plug holes in ESG data

Social intel proves elusive as virus reawakens sense of corporate virtue

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Model misfires raise questions over training data

Quants wrestle with how far into the past their machine learning models should peer

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Bonds fall from favour as shock absorbers for equity losses

Ultra-low rates force investors to rethink role of fixed income as diversifier

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Factor woes prove need for better timing – QuantZ’s Sharma

Investors should switch between factors as alphas change, says quant

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Investor crowds have blunted nowcasting returns, quants say

Buy-siders see shrunken returns in predicting near-term earnings

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Is short vol taking the long count?

Short volatility players try to box clever after strategy’s Covid rout

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Quant fund aims to tame bitcoin, and 39 other digital assets

Ex-Morgan Stanley, Winton vets reimagine institutional risk management for volatile crypto markets

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Not so green machine? Questioning commodities’ credentials

As ESG investors eye commodities, issues around measurement and management are unearthed

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How algos are helping inflation-wary investors

Buy-siders look to machine learning for clues on the effect of rising prices on portfolios

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Clunky crypto markets serve quants well – can it continue?

Poor price discovery presents opportunities for systematic traders in super-trending markets

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AI helps one investor screen targets against UN ethical goals

PanAgora develops two-stage process that aims to weed out the greenwashers

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Two Sigma building quant tools to hunt real estate bargains

Information-rich market offers “trillions of dollars of opportunity”, says data chief

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Quant funds tackle chronic overfitting in crypto strategies

Firms adapt backtests and tread lightly to address “huge” overfitting risk, magnified by scarce data

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Machines say: ‘Ignore the spread in merger arb’

Closely watched arbitrage spread poor predictor of a merger deal’s success, quant firm finds

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Stocks and bonds start to move in step, making quants jittery

Long-established inverse correlation between asset classes breaks down during first quarter

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Hedging inflation may never have been trickier

Effective hedging depends on what’s causing prices to rise

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Correlation ‘is not causation’ for rates and value stocks

Some quants remain unconvinced by the ‘great rotation’ away from growth

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‘Trend’ triumphs in uncertainty, but not as it wanes – study

Quant investing approach thrives in extremes of market uncertainty; calm hinders it

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‘Corrective’ algo tells quant firm when it’s wrong

QTS has built a machine to show whether a strategy is likely to succeed or flop

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AI models point to recession, but quants won’t trade on them

Predicting the odds of a recession, and how markets will respond, is still a step too far for machines

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Geopolitical risk models not ‘rigorous’ enough, says quant

Joseph Simonian believes game theory and reinforcement learning could improve matters

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Role of the dice: how Susquehanna puts game theory to work

One of the world’s largest options traders uses game theory – and poker practice – to get results

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Ukraine war exposes risks in ‘naive’ ESG investing

Quants say funds have underperformed and will not aid transition to net zero

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Cross-sectional stock volatility lifts value factor

Dispersion in returns makes for ‘double alpha’

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Can algos collude? Quants are finding out

Oxford-Man Institute is among those asking: could algorithms gang up and squeeze customers?

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Is low vol crowded? That depends who you ask

Equity drawdowns have pushed more investors into low volatility strategies, raising fears of a build-up of risk

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The haves and the ‘have bots’: can AI give vol forecasters an edge?

Firms look to machine learning and natural language processing to gain advantage over peers

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BNP Paribas quants ‘industrialise’ portfolio construction

Firm says tech, five years in development, takes two hours to do jobs that previously took two days

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Investors zero in on short-dated options to trade US inflation prints

But critics say 0DTE products are increasing volatility around CPI announcements

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Zero-day options and the shadow of the apocalypse

For some, 0DTEs could spell doom in adverse market conditions; others dismiss such talk as dramatics

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How Man Numeric found SVB red flags in credit data

Network analysis helps quant shop spot concentration and contagion risks

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Zero-day spikes vanish as bank worries exceed inflation fears

Implied volatility for short-dated options points to shift in sentiment after SVB failure

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We’ll help banks reach ‘other side’ of deposit squeeze – Ares CEO

Private credit firm talking with banks about liquidity and capital ‘solutions’

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Fleeting volatility vexes trend followers

Jumpy markets give quant firms the jitters as tried-and-tested strategies struggle in 2023

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AI in sheep’s clothing? Wolfe Research develops finance chatbot

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US vol experts hint at calm before storm in markets

Many buy-siders believe today’s relative tranquility in equities masks underlying fragility

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How patchy liquidity is stymieing systematic credit

…and what investors like AllianceBernstein, Man Numeric and Acadian are doing about it

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Balanced trading is calming zero-day volatility fears

UBS finds little evidence that 0DTE options exacerbate volatility

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Can machine learning help predict recessions? Not really

Artificial intelligence models stumble on noisy data and lack of interpretability

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Hedge funds rev up short-vol trade in zero-day options

Firms are capping exposures to avoid a rerun of 2018’s ‘Volmageddon’ unwind

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AllianceBernstein: fine-tuning shrinks gen AI ‘hallucinations’

Asset manager says its tweaks have improved accuracy of LLM models

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Quant shop preps NLP-powered index for physical climate risk

Sharp rise in extreme weather events prompts PGIM Quant to aim for better climate-risk pricing

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Trend following struggles to return to vogue

Macro outlook for trend appears to be favourable, but 2023’s performance flop gives would-be investors pause for thought

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‘Brace, brace’: quants say soft landing is unlikely

Investors should prepare for sticky inflation and volatile asset prices as central banks grapple with turning rates cycle

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